2022碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)培训课件(28页).pdf
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1、Overview and Practice of Climate-Neutral Industry Parks(Jintan EDZ as an Example)碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)碳中和园区及综合能源规划培训 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Comparison strategies to counteract climate change 应对气候变化的策略比较Economic growth(peak of growth)经济增长(增长峰值)Peak carbon dioxide(CO2)emissions before 2030 Achieve carbon neutral2、ity before 20602030碳达峰,2060碳中和reducing its carbon emission per unit of GDP by over 65%by 2030 compared to 2005与2005年相比,到2030年每单位GDP要减少超过65%的碳排increasing the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 25%by 2030到2030年,非化石燃料在一次能源中占比要增加到约25%increasing the forest stock volume by 63、 billion cubic meters by 2030 compared to 2005与2005年相比,到2030年为止森林蓄积量要增加到60亿立方米bringing its total installed capacity of wind and solar power to over 1200 GW by 2030到2030年风能和太阳能发电总装机容量达1200吉瓦Slide 4China 中国Europe 欧洲柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Which parameters are of int4、erest?哪些参数值得关注?Slide 5柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Primary energy consumption measures the total energy demand.It covers consumption of the energy sector itself,losses during transformation and distribution of energy,and the final consumption by end users.一次能耗测量的是总能耗需求。它涵盖了供能行业本身的5、消耗,传输和能源分配中的损失,以及终端用户的能耗Final energy consumption is the total energy consumed by end users,such as households,industry and agriculture.It is the energy which reaches the final consumers door and excludes that which is used by the energy sector itself.最终能耗是用户使用的总能源,如家居,工业和农业。它是到达最终消费者家门口的能源,但不包括供能行业自6、己使用的能。tce=Unit of energy measurement corresponding to the energy produced by the combustion of a ton of coal.1 ton of coal equivalent=29,307 gigajoules(GJ)or 8141 kWh=8,4 MWh 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司CO2 equivalent二氧化碳当量A CO2 equivalent,abbreviated as CO2-eq is a metric measure used to compare the emissions from7、 various greenhouse gases on the basis of their global-warming potential,by converting amounts of other gases to the equivalent amount of carbon dioxide with the same global warming potential.CO2 当量,缩写为 CO2-eq,它 是一种公制度量,用于根据其全球变暖潜能值比较各种温室气体的排放量,方法是将其他气体的量转换为相当于具有相同全球变暖潜能的二氧化碳的量。Slide 6柏林/北京,2022年10月8、25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)氢氟碳化合物一氧化二氮六氟化硫全氟化碳甲烷二氧化碳 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Why working on energy concepts?为什么我们要打造能源方案?Slide 7柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)In 2017 China emitted 27%of the global CO2 emissions,EU 9.8%2017年,中国的碳排放总量占全球的27%,欧盟为9.8%A sustainable approach of energy consump9、tion within the planets ecological barriers could be expressed in the concept of the so called 2000 Watt Society.The CO2 emissions caused by this level of energy consumption must not exceed 1 ton per person per year.Today,the primary energy consumption per capita worldwide is on average 2500 watts.就10、地球的承受能力而言,人均2000瓦特的能源消耗被认为是可持续的生活方式。对应,人均每年二氧化碳排放不高于一吨。目前,全球人均一次能源消耗为2500瓦特。茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Carbon emissions-China in global comparison碳排放 中国与全世界的比较Slide 8柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Most(western)countries reached carbon peak Chinas emissions are still increasing.The target for peak 11、carbon is 2030-in 8 years!大部分发达国家已达峰 中国依旧在增长碳达峰是2030年 还有8 8年!How to reach reach carbon peak in 2030?如何在2030实现谈达峰?radical and innovative energy efficiency measures激进创新的能效措施 Expansion of renewable energies on a extraordinary scale大范围地扩大可再生能源 Learning from the mistakes of countries that already“peaked”12、从“已达峰”国家的错误中分析总结经验 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司What is the current situation?现状如何?Energy consumption by source 按来源划分能耗Slide 9柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Reducing fossil fuels means a shift towards a more colourful“/diverse energy mix减少化石燃料意味着-向更加 丰富多彩/多样化的能源组合转变Reducing fossil fuels means intell13、igent managing of different energy sources,demand and yield减少化石燃料意味着-对不同的能源来源、需求和产量进行智能管理Renewable energies in China ca.14%20212021年中国可再生能源占比约为14%Renewable energies in Germany ca.20%20212021年德国可再生能源占比约为20%茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Energy intensity potential for efficiency?能源强度 能效潜力?Slide 10柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CE14、CEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)能源强度:单位GDP的一次能源消耗量碳排放强度:单位能源生产的二氧化碳排放量 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Planning+Implementation 顶层规划+实施方案Slide 11柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Data collection and As-IsanalysisBoundaries and users,energy consumption and energy supply,renewable energy,political goals数据收集及现状分析能源消15、耗,能源供给,能源基础设施,政策目标等Scenario analysis for threesectorsReference and efficiency scenarioFuture energy demand/supply可再生能源利用潜力分析三个部门未来能源消费和供给的能源与能效情景分析Outlook and Policyrecommendations展望及政策建议As-Is analysis of pilot areasBoundaries and users,energyconsumption and energy supply,renewable energy,political 16、goals示范园区现状分析边界和用户,能源消耗,能源供给,可再生能源利用潜力,政策目标等Catalogue of measuresShort-term,Medium-term,Long-term措施概览,短期、中期、长期10-15 detailedprojectproposals,incl.evaluation10-15个 项目建议及项目评估The comprehensive energy efficiency improvement plan for Jintan EDZ金坛经开区综合能效提升规划Integrated energy planning for pilot areas 中德城镇节17、能示范启动区综合能源方案 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Aspects of energy planing能源规划的出发点How is the 需要考虑以下方面:Situation according to climatic conditions heating/cooling?气候条件 供暖和制冷?State of the art energy supply?能源供应现状?Energy demand for the different sectors?不同部门的能源需求?What is the potential(part II tomorrow)潜力分析(第二部分):for developmen18、t for the region and the different sectors?地区各个部门的未来发展如何?to substitute fossil energy carriers with renewable energies?用可再生能源来替代化石能源的潜力?to increase efficiency in the different sectors?各个部门能效提升潜力?What strategies need to be placed to realize those potentials?为实现这些潜力,需要制定哪些战略?Slide 12柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GI19、Z/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Slide 13金坛经济开发区简介 A provincial development zone approved in November 1993 省级经济开发区,于1993年批准设立 A total area of about 80.43 square kilometers 规划面积80.43平方公里 Population:85,000 人口8万5千人 GDP in 2020:42.565 billion RMB,with an average annual growth of about 17.5%from 20、2016 to 20202020年GDP达到425.65亿元,过去五年平均增长率为17.5%Key industries 核心产业 Chemical and New Material Industry 化工与材料 Photovoltaic Industry 光伏产业 High-end equipment manufacturing 高端装备制造 New Energy Vehicle Industry 新能源汽车 Climate date 气候数据 Mean monthly maximum temperature(in July):32 C月平均最高气温在7月,为32 C Mean monthl21、y minimum temperature(in January):0 C月平均最低气温在1月,为0 CBrief introduction of Jintan EDZ柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)intep 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Most important energy transition targets for Jintan EDZ金坛经开区能源及能效目标Slide 14柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Total energy consumption an22、d COTotal energy consumption and CO2 2emissionemission能源消费总量和碳排放量JintanJintan EDZ should achieve carbon peak before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060EDZ should achieve carbon peak before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060金坛经开区应在20302030年前实现碳达峰,20602060年前实现碳中和Energy intensityEnergy intensity23、能源强度By 2025,the energy consumption per unit of GDP should be reduced by 12-20%compared to 2020到2025年,单位GDP能耗比2020年下降12-20%Energy structureEnergy structure能源结构By 2025,the share of non-fossil energy consumption should reach 12-15%金坛经开区非化石能源消费比重达到12%-15%By 2025,newly installed rooftop PV-capacity 250 M24、W(currently 84 MW)到2025年,金坛经开区屋顶分布式光伏新增装机容量预计约25万千瓦Geothermal,Biomass,Waste to Energy,Wind power地热、生物能、垃圾焚烧发电、风能等示范项目Energy efficiency in buildingsEnergy efficiency in buildings能效建筑部门New building meet the“Design Standard for Green Building(2021)”(1-star),energy efficiency of new residential building25、 increases from 65%to 75%根据2021年版江苏省居住建筑热环境和节能设计标准,从2021年起,新建住宅建筑能效由65%提高到75%By 2025,renewable energy utilization rate in the building sector:8%到2025年建筑部门可再生能源利用率:8%TransportTransport交通交通Support electric and hydrogen mobility促进电动汽车和氢燃料汽车的发展 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司What does the climate tell us?本地的气候条件?Average a26、nnual precipitation 平均年降雨量:1108.1 mm Average annual humidity 年平均湿度:78%Mean monthly maximum temperature(in July)月平均最高温度(7月):28.6 C Mean monthly minimum temperature(in January)月平均最低温度(1月):3.6 C Cooling degree day(CDD)26 空调度日数:187 Heating degree day(HDD)18 采暖度日数:1726 Annual wind speed on 100m=above 5 m27、/s=suitable for wind energy100高处年平均风速 5米每秒,适合风力开发 PV-potential=1100 kWh/kWp(comparable to Germany)光伏潜力为1100千瓦时/kWp(与德国相近)Slide 15柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司8%1%2%63%2%2%14%14%Land Use Planning in Jintan EDZLand Use Planning in Jintan EDZ金坛经开区建设用地规划Residential 居住用地Pub28、lic administration and public services 公共管理与公共服务设施用地Commercial services 商业服务业设施用地Industrial 工业用地Logistics and warehousing 物流仓储用地Utilities 公用市政设施用地Green spaces and squares 绿地与广场用地Roads and transport 道路与交通设施Slide 16金坛经开区未来发展规划Current status 现状 Urban area 城市建设用地:3085 ha Development intensity 开发强度约为50%A29、bout 69%of industrial land 工业用地占比69%About 280 hectares of residential land 居住用地面积约280公顷Future planning 未来规划 Urban area 城市建设用地:5235 ha Development intensity 开发强度约74%About 63%of industrial land 工业用地占比63%About 8%of residential land 居住用地面积占比接近8%Future planning of Jintan EDZ柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和30、园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Energy infrastructure in Jintan EDZ 金坛经开区能源基础设施概览Slide 17柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)JintanJintan wastwaste e-toto-energyenergy plantplantJiayiJiayi thermal power plantthermal power plantDatangDatang CHP plantCHP plant 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Electricity supply 31、mainly from gas-fired power station 电力供给主要依靠天然气Slide 18柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Local electricity sources cover the demand in Jintan EDZ(around 2000 GWh)Most electricity is produced with fossil energy carriers All power plants also generate heat.Not all potential it is being u32、sed and therefore wasted for ex.the waste to energy plant 当地的电力生产可以满足金坛经济开发区的电力需求(约2000GWh)绝大多数电力是通过化石能源生产的 所有的发电厂在发电过程中都会产生热量,然而并非所有可利用的热量都被使用,部分被浪费了-例如,金坛生活垃圾焚烧发电项目 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Heat supply in Jintan EDZ-mainly coal金坛经开区集中供热 以煤为主Slide 19Central heat supply for industrial enterprises in Jintan EDZ(233、019 2021)All fossil energy carriers A heat network for(residential)buildings is currently not in operation金坛经济开发区工业企业集中供热(2019-2021)完全依赖化石能源 集中供热网络目前没有用于(住宅)建筑领域的供暖柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)5.883.0005.508.0006.171.000277.0001.203.0002.287.00001.000.0002.000.0003.000.0004.000.0034、05.000.0006.000.0007.000.0008.000.0009.000.000201920202021吉焦金坛加怡热电厂(煤)江苏大唐热电联产厂(天然气)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Energy consumption Jintan EDZ金坛经开区的能耗Slide 202021年金坛经济开发区的一次能源消费2021年金坛经济开发区的终端能源消费柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)21%10%68%1%CoalOilNatural gasRenewable energy1.3 million tce130万吨标煤52%33%35、14%1%Process heatElectricityTransportation fuelsBuilding heating0.8 million tce80万吨标煤 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Where does energy flow in Jintan EDZ?金坛经开区的能量流情况Slide 21 Ca.68%=Industry 工业 Ca.17%=Export of electricity 外输电力 Ca.11%=Transportation 交通 Ca.2%=Residential buildings 建筑 Almost all the energy is providedwit36、h fossil energy carriers几乎所有的能源消耗来自化石燃料柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Industry:Energy consumption工业:能耗Slide 22 In Jintan EDZ there are 168 industrial enterprises above the designated size,which consumed about 90%of total energy consumption in the industrial sector(675,0037、0 tce).金坛经开区168家规模以上工业企业的能源消费总量约占工业部门能源消费总量的(67.5万吨标煤)的90%。In the last three years,the energy consumption(process heat,electricity,natural gas)of the industrial enterprises above the designated size in Jintan EDZ has grown steadily,from 467,000tce in 2019 to 580,000 tce in 2021,with an average annua38、l growth rate of around 11%.在过去三年中,金坛经开区规模以上工业企业的能源消费(集中供热、电、分散式供热)稳步上升,从2019年的47万吨标煤到2021年的58万吨标煤,年均增长率为11%左右。柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)2100002300002900001950002000002200006300060000760000100000200000300000400000500000600000201920202021吨标煤集中供热电力分散式供热 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Key industries39、 in Jintan EDZ金坛经开区的重点产业Slide 23Four key industries are present in Jintan EDZ 金坛经开区前20家能耗最大的企业分布情况及能源消费比例 光伏和电池,能耗占比38%,5家企业 化工和材料,能耗占比37%,8家企业 制造业,能耗占比20%,4家企业 纺织和造纸,能耗占比5%,3家企业*Allocation of the top 20 largest energy consumers in these 4 key industries 括号内数字表示20家大型能耗企业分别属于该行业的数量柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GI40、Z/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)化工与材料化工与材料37%37%(8 8)纺织与造纸纺织与造纸5%5%(3 3)光伏与电池光伏与电池38%38%(5 5)制造业制造业20%20%(4 4)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Industry:Energy consumption工业:能耗Slide 24Energy consumption structure of representative enterprises in Jintan EDZ Energy demand for significant quantities of electricity and process 41、heat The electricity mix is also mainly based on fossil energy carriers(coal/gas)金坛经济技术开发区代表性企业的能源消耗结构 对大量的电力和工艺热能的需求 电力结构主要以化石能源(煤/气)为主柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)13%83%100%2%85%16%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%中盐金坛盐化有限责任公司永臻科技江苏鹿山光电科技有限公司水电压缩空气热力天然气柴油 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Household s42、ector 建筑领域 No central room cooling and heating supply无集中供暖及制冷 Rooms are cooled and heated by electric air conditioning systems分布式空调进行供暖和制冷 Natural gas operated storey heating systems分布式天然气供暖系统 Per capita electricity consumption by households in 2021:1119 kWh2021年居民人均电力消耗为1119千瓦时 Per capita gas consu43、mption by households in 2021:40 cubic meters居民人均天然气消耗40立方米Slide 25柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Energy consumption in the building sector in 20212021年经开区建筑领域能源消耗电力 Electricity天然气 Natural gas可再生能源 Renewable energy 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Transport sector 交通领域 The estimated number of motor vehic44、les in JintanEDZ in 2021 is 26,800,including private vehicles,taxis,buses,delivery vehicles etc.金坛经开区机动车数量估算为26800,包括私家车,出租车,公交车和运输车辆等 Private cars account for more than 90%私家车占比超过90%Of which the estimated number of electric vehicles is 590,accounting for 2.2%电动车数量约为590,占比2.2%The electricity consump45、tion of the electric vehicle is estimated at 4.58 GWh2021年,电动车消耗1.33GWh电力Slide 26柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)Energy consumption in the transport sector in 20212021年经开区交通领域一次能源消耗油 Oil电力 Electricity 茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Comprision:Energy consumption部门比较:能耗Industry 工业 the estimated total ene46、rgy consumption is ca.675,000 tce(ca.5500 GWh)工业领域能耗约为675000吨标煤(约为5500 GWh)Building 建筑Considering the population in Jintan EDZ(about 85,000)考虑搭配经开区的人口数量 the total electricity consumption is about 95 GWh 建筑领域的电力消耗约为95 GWh the estimated consumption of natural gas is about 3.48 million m3 (ca.35 GWh)建筑47、领域的天然气消耗约为348万立方米Transportation 交通 The estimated consumption of refined petroleum in 2021:78000 tons(ca.910 GWh)燃油消耗量约为7.8万吨 The electricity consumption of electric vehicles is estimated at around 1.33 GWh电动车的电力消耗约为1.33 GWhIn comparison with the energy demand for the industry these sectors are negle48、ctable but living standards will increase and lead to a higher energy footprint in this sectors与工业部门的能源需求相比,建筑和交通部门的能耗较低,但是,随着生活水平的提高,这些部门的能耗将增加Slide 27柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Challenges 面临的挑战 Over-reliance on fossil fuels for energy supply:Gas,coal,eletrictiy,oil49、 etc能源供应过度依赖天然气、煤、石油等化石能源 The share of installed PV power exceeds 10%,yet the share of renewable electricity generation is less than 4%光伏装机容量占比超10%,然而光伏发电量占比低于4%Industry sector consumed over 90%primary energy in 2021工业领域消耗了90%的一次能源 Decentralized heat and cold supply in the household sector:low energ50、y efficiency住宅领域多为分布式供热和制冷,能效较差 The energy demand of the Jintan EDZ will increase significantly,due to further economic development,urban construction,population growth,new industrial enterprises,etc.考虑到金坛经开区近一步的发展、新城区的建设、人口增长、工业企业入驻等,能源需求将持续增长 Lack of systematic and comprehensive strategy,such as t51、argets,measures,projects etc.缺少系统性、综合的减排战略,比如与减排目标相对应的措施、项目等Slide 28柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Summary 总结What needs to be done?需要采取哪些行动Measurements need to set into place now to reach peak carbon 2030现在要采取具体措施,确保2030年实现碳达峰Coal is being replaced with gas but should be52、 replaced with renewable energy煤炭正在被天然气取代,但应该被可再生能源取代Most energy is being used in the industry in order to remain economically competitive and meet national climate targets,bold steps must be taken with regard to energy efficiency and the generation of renewable energy.工业消耗了大部分能源,为了保持经济竞争力和实现气候目标,必须53、在能源效率和可再生能源利用方面采取强有力的措施Improved living standards will lead to a higher energy demand in the private sector instead of a lot of single solutions smart and efficient energy networks生活水平的提高将导致建筑和交通部门的能源需求增加,代替大量的单一解决方案,应采取智能和高效的能源网络A long-term strategy for energy policies needs to be set in place since54、 for ex.efficiency measurements will pay out over the long term需要制定长期的能源政策和战略,因为很多能效措施往往在长期内得到回报Slide 29柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)茵态综合规划咨询有限公司Targets:Outlook energy concept II目标:展望能源方案IIWhat are strategies and measures to meet the target of carbonpeak 2030 and net-0 2060 in Jin55、tan EDZ?How can Jintan EDZ take on a leading and exemplary role?maximize energy efficincy in the different sectors minimize fossil energy carriers cover the remaining energy demand with renewable energies金坛经济开发区实现2030年碳峰值和2060年碳中和的策略和措施是什么?金坛经济开发区如何发挥领导和模范作用?尽可能提高所有部门的能效 尽量减少化石能源的使用 尽可能多的使用可再生能源Slide 30柏林/北京,2022年10月25日GIZ/CECEP|碳中和园区的综述与实践(以金坛经开区为例)