美林集团《中国地产新局面》(全英文 61页）.pdf
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2021-05-06
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1、 Employed by a non-US affiliate of MLPF it will likely not only impact revenue and profitability of its participants, but also transform the entire industry landscape. In the next 3-5 years, an abundant supply of economic housing should help improve the supply and demand equilibrium in the property 2、marketwhich we believe is very positive for the long term growth of the industry. We expect the physical market to experience volume decline and price cuts in the next 3-6 months, and prefer commercial and residential names with strong cash flow and excellent execution capabilities. Physical market 3、at an impasse price cuts expected ahead During the May holidays, primary transaction volume suffered significant decline while selling prices remained stable. Volume in Tier 1 cities fell; Tier 2 cities showed divergence and Tier 3 cities were quite healthy. Banks in Tier 1 cities halted mortgage lending to 3rd home or non-local purchases; some Tier 2 cities adopted new guidelines, while Tier 3 ci
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