1、presented by公交导向 综合体十策10STRATEGIESTRANSIT ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT公交导向 综合体 十策TRANSIT ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT | 10STRATEGIES“城市化”在发展中国家而言有着不可逆转的趋势Urbanization is Irreversible for Developing Countries Urbanization ForecastPopulation living in urban areas, % of total 100%80706050402001950 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
2、 90 95 2000 05 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45FORECASTYearIn 2011, over half of China population living in Urban AreaThe China Scenarios7050Source:CEIC; UN Population Division; The EconomistHong KongWestern EuropeChinaSouth-East AsiaIndiaBrazilUSin China20% population = 269 million will move to cities or be
3、 urbanizedby 2038 (20 years from now) 未来20年 20% 的中国人口(2.69亿)将会移居到城市30s40s50sEvolution of City infrastructure in LA1918 city of LA1918 plan to extend2012 city of LAforecast expansionemergingTHE LOS ANGELES MODEL HORIZONTAL EXPANSION美国洛杉矶模式 小汽车主导的城市平面扩张source : 城市规划 : 美国 (洛杉矶) 模式urban planning : the L.A. modeLos Angeles中国的城市不应以车辆为其运输系统中枢automobile as transportation backbone shouldnt be a solution fo